Unscientific Presidential Predictors


It’s been a year of talking about polls, debates and swing states. But who needs polling data when we have good old fashioned superstition!? There are plenty of ways to tell who will win the election on Tuesday before anyone even casts a single vote. Some go back decades, others are fairly new. These are the trends and patterns and maybe coincidences that can tell us well before election day who is going to be sitting in the White House. These are the Unscientific Presidential Predictors.

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  • The November 6 Election Day.  When Election Day falls on November 6th, this predictor says the Democratic candidate shouldn’t even bother campaigning. Every time voters have gone to the polls on the 6th of November starting in 1860, the Republican candidate has won the White House. This seems like a lot, but November 6 Election Days have only happened 6 times before this year.
  • Halloween Masks.  Here’s a predictor that started in 1996 and has never been wrong. Spirit Halloween stores have been predicting that whichever candidate has the best selling mask for Halloween will win the election. This looks like a landslide for Obama whose masks outsold Romney masks, 60% to 40%. Going by this logic, it would appear that Batman, the Wolfman or Ghostface from the “Scream” movies would have a very good chance at being elected President of the United States.
  • The Redskins Rule.  Hail to the Redskins. Their predictor had a long run starting in 1940. If the Redskins win the week before the election, then the incumbent party would stay in the White House. If they lose, then the other party would take over power. The Redskin Rule came to a screeching halt in 2004, when they lost to Green Bay, but George W. Bush won. This past weekend the Redskins lost to the Panthers. Now that the cycle has been broken, it’s hard to say this predictor is still relevant. Kind of like the 3 and 6 Redskins.
  • Kids Vote. Every election year, Scholastic Magazine lets kids vote for President. And the kids vote has accurately predicted who would win the Presidential race 16 out of the last 18 elections. This year, the children are picking Obama with 51% to Romney’s 45%. Another 4% voted third party, which we can only assume went to either Mickey Mouse or Farty McFarterson.
  • The L.A. Lakers.  The Lakers had a nice streak of Presidential predicting going on until last election. Since 1952, every election year that the Lakers made it to the NBA Championship series whether they won or lost, the Republicans won the White House. This all worked fine until last election when the Lakers faced the Celtics in 2008 and John McCain lost the Presidency. And with Miami beating Oklahoma City this year, no one is looking to the Lakers to tell us who the President will be.
  • First Ladies and Their Cookies.  Family Circle magazine has been running their own poll about whose cookie recipe tastes best and in 4 out of the last 5 elections, the cookie poll has predicted the winner. The only blot on Family Circle’s record, the McCains again. This year, Michelle Obama’s “White and Dark Chocolate Cookies” beat out Ann Romney’s “M&M Cookies”, 51.5% to 48.5%. With all that kitchen help, Ann Romney could only come up with an M&M recipe!? Her and her cookies may have lost the election for her husband.
  • 7-Eleven Coffee Cups.   You’ll need a Presidential coffee predictor to go with those cookies. 7-Eleven stores started their unscientific coffee cup poll with the 2000 election and they have been right ever since. In fact, the coffee cup poll has been predicting winners and losers to within a percentage point. This year the Obama cups are outselling the Romney cups by a 60 to 40 margin. And to make it more exciting, 7-Eleven put out their important Ohio swing state coffee numbers where President Obama’s cup is beating Mitt Romney’s cup 57% to 43%.
  • The World Series.   The San Francisco Giants sweeping the Detroit Tigers was good news for Team Obama. When the National League wins the series in an election year, so does the Democrat. With the American League, it’s the Republican. This one has held up 11 of the past 15 elections including the past 3. Fortunately this one has nothing to do with how well a sitting President can throw out a first pitch.
  • Alabama Versus LSU.   Starting in 1984, if the Crimson Tide got the win, so did the Democrat. In election years where the LSU Tigers won, it was the Republican. Final score this past Saturday night, Alabama 21 LSU 17. Sure it came late in the game, but Alabama pulled it out.
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 FINAL SCORE:  OBAMA 7, ROMNEY 2


51 Comments

  1. Narc Zito

    November 5, 2012 at 12:04 pm

    Finally.  Something that has nothing to do with poles.

  2. Steve_in_Tampa

    November 5, 2012 at 12:04 pm

    Not based on any logic or data.  Just like Fez.

    • OllieInChicago

      November 5, 2012 at 12:08 pm

      @Steve_in_Tampa Spock’s head would explode.

  3. LizSetsFire

    November 5, 2012 at 12:05 pm

    Ron Bennington 4 prez.

    • DeathProof

      November 5, 2012 at 12:21 pm

      @LizSetsFire Pep as vice…winning ticket for sure!

  4. harlequincy

    November 5, 2012 at 12:06 pm

    These make more sense than the antiquated Electoral College…good job Fezzie

  5. shrekkalove

    November 5, 2012 at 12:06 pm

    Scholastic Magazine is still around?!

  6. queenelisabeth

    November 5, 2012 at 12:07 pm

    my vote is for Ron Bennington and so is my 3 year old

  7. jerkstoresean

    November 5, 2012 at 12:07 pm

    I’ve been grabbing third party (green) cups at 711 because I don’t want to talk to anyone about politics

    • DeathProof

      November 5, 2012 at 12:08 pm

      @jerkstoresean IS that really a thing. Don’t make me google it.

      • jerkstoresean

        November 5, 2012 at 12:08 pm

        @DeathProof Yea dude, it just doesn’t have anyone’s name on it

      • DeathProof

        November 5, 2012 at 12:09 pm

        @jerkstoresean Oh shit! Cup poll?! Who knew?!  I think I voted for the “The Avengers”…all of them!

      • jerkstoresean

        November 5, 2012 at 12:10 pm

        @DeathProof I don’t know if they’ve been keeping track of Big Gulps, but I think I John Cena might be president next term

      • DeathProof

        November 5, 2012 at 12:15 pm

        @jerkstoresean If someone bothers you about the color of your cup…just tell them its a fucking cup.

      • jerkstoresean

        November 5, 2012 at 12:16 pm

        @DeathProof Yea, they don’t understand that I just like coffee and hate red cups…….and Republicans

  8. ElectricDave

    November 5, 2012 at 12:07 pm

    I feel like Fez’s rants are counter productive……I want to go vote for Romney just in spite of Fez; and it will be radio gold to listen to him tomorrow

  9. Steve_in_Tampa

    November 5, 2012 at 12:08 pm

    It’s like the World Cup Octopus, or the Super Bowl Buffalo.  You never hear about these things until all of a sudden they’ve been right for 128 years, and then half are wrong once they get exposure.

  10. harlequincy

    November 5, 2012 at 12:08 pm

    These trends are trending right now.

  11. Docintoxicated

    November 5, 2012 at 12:09 pm

    If Fez wakes up election day and sees his shadow it means 4 more years of a democrat or republican.

  12. VegasHockey

    November 5, 2012 at 12:09 pm

    Where is the sniper?

  13. BillyG

    November 5, 2012 at 12:09 pm

    The winner of the most votes almost always wins

  14. DeathProof

    November 5, 2012 at 12:10 pm

    I hope Romney wins. It will make for better radio. Keep Fez involved.

    • OP4

      November 5, 2012 at 12:26 pm

      @DeathProof Yes!  For some reason Happy Fez infuriates me.  Angry and sad Fez makes me feel great.

  15. BillyG

    November 5, 2012 at 12:10 pm

    the other 3% of kids are eating paste

  16. OllieInChicago

    November 5, 2012 at 12:10 pm

    Roll Tide

  17. ElectricDave

    November 5, 2012 at 12:11 pm

    According to this no one needs to go out and vote…Obama already won….right Fez?!

  18. harlequincy

    November 5, 2012 at 12:13 pm

    Osama’s dead and so are the Tigers

  19. OllieInChicago

    November 5, 2012 at 12:15 pm

    I wish the Mormons would fight the Myrmadons.

  20. ecupirate

    November 5, 2012 at 12:15 pm

    If Romney wins, Fez must tell us where he was during the hurricane

    • Narc Zito

      November 5, 2012 at 12:17 pm

      @ecupirate Why would I believe him then?

  21. Steve_in_Tampa

    November 5, 2012 at 12:17 pm

    I don’t care if Romney’s religion makes him to dress up in a goat uniform and dance around a fire every Thursday, if he can fix this shitty economy/recovery/employment situation, more power to him.

  22. Docintoxicated

    November 5, 2012 at 12:18 pm

    Obama doesn’t care about white people, Dana.

  23. jerkstoresean

    November 5, 2012 at 12:21 pm

    ATTENTION EVERYONE, DUE TO HURRICANE SANDY, THE ELECTION HAS BEEN POSTPONED UNTIL WEDNESDAY, NOVEMBER 7TH.

  24. Pool Keepers Son

    November 5, 2012 at 12:24 pm

    Fez sounds more like Frankie Mac every day, ELECTION WARNING!!!!!!!

  25. Pool Keepers Son

    November 5, 2012 at 12:26 pm

    Book of Eli was better than the Book of Mormon…. Denzel

  26. FezsDinnerTray

    November 5, 2012 at 12:26 pm

    If someone lies about living on Roosevelt island when they actually live on Christoper Street, Obama loses.

  27. FanBoy1

    November 5, 2012 at 12:42 pm

    I suspect its going to be much closer then that. Obama dont have this shit locked up. People lOve coffee and Hate voting =dats to much like work!

  28. Sackman

    November 5, 2012 at 12:47 pm

    Fez’s rant today was almost unlistenable. His only motivation for voting is gay marriage. Of course it is important, but we have far bigger issues in this country

    • filler

      November 5, 2012 at 1:16 pm

      @Sackman  uggh I haven’t heard the show yet… can’t wait. But I’m sure he makes some very concise, well prepared points.

      • Sackman

        November 5, 2012 at 1:36 pm

        @filler Oh boy does he ever… I literally almost changed the channel until Ron stepped back in to derail it a little bit.  His Obama Headline style arguments make me uncomfortable! haha  “If you care about equality, if you care about women…” blah blah blah… terrible

    • bioinsegnante

      November 6, 2012 at 2:36 pm

      Almost unlistenable?  He’s awful.  Thank God for Ronnie and the other guys giving him shit all afternoon.  I love that they are calling the swing states for Romney and fucking with him.

  29. Bronzebomber

    November 5, 2012 at 12:55 pm

    The biggest indicator is that Fez is 100% wrong about everything.  I guess its a Romney victory.

  30. K Dubya

    November 5, 2012 at 3:56 pm

    After seeing that I guess I don’t need to vote…

  31. Amesib

    November 5, 2012 at 9:01 pm

    The only reason I’ll be happy with a Romney win is knowing that the GAY issues hurt rather than help a candidate, so it will be the last time you hear from THEM

  32. cal5000

    November 6, 2012 at 9:35 am

    If Romney loses thats hundreds millions of dollars from crazy rich assholes pissed away. That would be hilarious.

    • Sackman

      November 6, 2012 at 5:38 pm

      @cal5000 You act like Obama gets all of his money from poor inter-city black families… How do you think they have EACH been able to spend a billion dollars on their campaigns?

      • cal5000

        November 7, 2012 at 1:05 am

        @Sackman Not at all, but the number of rich donors and Unknown “Dark Money” donors was heavy on the GOP side. Look at any breakdown of donations to these campaigns and see for yourself.
         
        And dont fucking act like it was a bunch of Left leaning CEOs threatening to fire people if Obama didnt win. 
         
        I dont act like shit because I did my homework and know what Im talking about unlike most of the motherfuckers who talk shit here.

  33. bioinsegnante

    November 6, 2012 at 2:35 pm

    I will drive Fez to the airport and pay for his ticket if Romney wins.  Anything to shut that idiot up!

    • ecupirate

      November 6, 2012 at 5:30 pm

      @bioinsegnante  Fuck off you pile of shit.

      • bioinsegnante

        November 7, 2012 at 11:18 am

        @ecupirate Such obsene words from a princess like yourself.  How uncoof!

  34. Greatly Fatigued

    November 6, 2012 at 9:56 pm

    This is as scientific as anything published in academia on the subject.  Dr. Pepper Hicks should be building forecast models full time.